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Market · Philippines · Fri 30 Oct · 1 min read

PAGCOR's e-gaming drag is now a crisis number

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What happened

41 billion, is not a soft patch: it is a structural contraction driven by e-gaming weakness that has now persisted long enough to define the year. The POGO shutdown removed a significant revenue floor, BSP deposit friction pushed licensed online market share from roughly 75% to around 50%, and the illegal market has absorbed the difference.…

Sources: GGRAsia

  1. PAGCOR revenue down 23% through nine months4 billion for the first nine months of 2026 is not a soft patch: it is a confirmed structural contraction. The POGO shutdown removed a significant revenue floor, BSP deposit friction cut licensed online market share from roughly 75% to around 50%, and e-gaming weakness has now persisted across three consecutive quarters.…Market · Philippines
  2. PAGCOR's licensed-site app targets illegal operatorsPAGCOR launching a consumer app in December to identify licensed online gambling sites is a direct channelization play, addressing the same problem Signal briefed on October 10: BSP's e-wallet restrictions pushed the licensed market share from 75% to around 50% by adding friction on the deposit side. The app attacks the supply side instead, making it easier for players to verify legitimacy before they register.…Regulatory · Philippines
  3. Philippines excise tax on online gambling moves forwardThe Department of Finance actively studying an excise tax on online gambling, following a public proposal from Executive Secretary Ralph Recto, means this is now a serious policy track rather than a trial balloon. An excise tax would structurally alter the cost base for every licensed Philippine online operator and, if passed through to players via reduced margins or higher minimum bets, risks pushing further traffic to unlicensed alternatives, exactly the dynamic that has driven licensed market share from roughly 75% to around 50% since the BSP e-wallet restrictions.…Regulatory · Philippines